fabrisse: (Default)
fabrisse ([personal profile] fabrisse) wrote2016-08-05 01:25 pm

Follow up to Electoral College Post


Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com


This is how I see it going with no states in play. The shade indicates whether I think it will be close in a state (paler means closer and I had the option of three shades for each). As an example, Louisiana is paler red because I think the gay and black populations will weaken the Republican base, but, ultimately, this is the state which gave us David Duke.

[identity profile] eglantine-br.livejournal.com 2016-08-05 08:16 pm (UTC)(link)
I am liking the math. I hope it is just this clear on the day. Long road to November.

[identity profile] fabrisse.livejournal.com 2016-08-05 08:38 pm (UTC)(link)
It's better than where we are now according to the Toss-up Map (217 Dems, 191 Reps) and the Consensus Map (242 Dems, 191 Reps) but not as good as the Crystal Ball Map which has Clinton with 347 and Trump still with 191.

[identity profile] author-by-night.livejournal.com 2016-08-06 01:09 am (UTC)(link)
It's interesting to me because most of Maryland is blue, but my part of it is very red. In fact, I assumed for quite some time that Maryland was generally red because of the people in my area.
Edited 2016-08-06 01:36 (UTC)

[identity profile] fabrisse.livejournal.com 2016-08-06 03:11 pm (UTC)(link)
Are you on Eastern Shore? That's where my people are from. The DC suburbs and Baltimore and its environs make Maryland blue, but you'll notice I didn't make it darkest blue for that exact reason.

[identity profile] author-by-night.livejournal.com 2016-08-07 12:18 pm (UTC)(link)
Nope, nowhere near the Eastern Shore! I'm about 45 minutes outside of Baltimore.